“Moonlight drowns out all but the brightest stars.” – J.R.R. Tolkien, The Lord of the Rings In an experiment conducted on an arbitrary set of commodities for the year 1972 (Todd Lofton, July 1974, writes about his observations) it was shown that short-term movements of prices react with some uniformity with respect to the phases of the moon. In fact, the commodities chosen for observation–silver, wheat, cattle, cocoa, and sugar–showed an uncanny ability to form a rising market following a full moon and a falling market after a new moon. [Source: Commodity Trading Systems and Methods, P.J. Kaufman, p. 205.] Many traders believe there is a direct correlation between the primary phases of the moon and the points at which any given, freely-traded market will reverse direction. To sa
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